Developing an index of vulnerability to motor fuel price increases in England

Mattioli, G., Philips, I., Anable, J. and Chatterton, T. (2017) Developing an index of vulnerability to motor fuel price increases in England. In: 49th University Transport Studies Group Conference, Dublin, Eire, 04-06 January 2017. Available from:

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As the outlook for oil prices remains uncertain, this paper develops a method to assess which areas of England would be most vulnerable to future motor fuel price increases. Building on previous research, we define and operationalise three dimensions of vulnerability: exposure (the cost burden of motor fuel), sensitivity (income) and adaptive capacity (accessibility with modes alternative to the car). We exploit unique data sets available in England, including the 'MOT' vehicle inspection data and DfT Accessibility Statistics. This allows us to map vulnerability to fuel price increases at a spatially disaggregated level (Lower-layer Super Output Areas), taking into account motor-fuel expenditure for all travel purposes, and the ability of households to shift to other modes of travel. This is an advancement on the 'oil vulnerability' indices developed in previous international research.

Item Type:Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)
Uncontrolled Keywords:transport, poverty, energy, vulnerability
Faculty/Department:Faculty of Environment and Technology > Department of Geography and Environmental Management
ID Code:30778
Deposited By: Dr T. Chatterton
Deposited On:23 Jan 2017 10:41
Last Modified:08 Mar 2018 06:24

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